The stock market is sending signals that a Biden-led blue wave is getting less certain, says one Wall Street strategist


  • While the polls suggest a blue wave victory is in reach for Democrats this November, the stock market isn’t so sure, according to a note from Evercore ISI.
  • Wall Street strategists have been forecasting that a blue wave would likely be positive for stocks on hopes of a large stimulus deal shortly after the election, which would help spur a surge in value and cyclical stocks.
  • But this week’s rotation out of value and into tech suggests that chances of a blue wave in November are less likely, according to the note.
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

Wall Street is increasingly expecting a blue wave victory for Democrats this November after the polls close, which would likely lead to the reflation trade: a surge in cyclical and value stocks at the expense of technology and growth stocks.

But recent trading activity in the stock market suggests

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Goldman Sachs senior strategist warns stocks could see ‘considerable’ pre-election downside that isn’t being factored into models


  • Goldman Sachs’ Abby Joseph Cohen told Bloomberg on Thursday that markets could see “considerable downside” before the election due to factors that financial models aren’t picking up. 
  • These factors include the outcome of the election and what Congress and the president will do next before election day, Cohen said. 
  • The senior investment strategist added that the market is vulnerable to volatility and disappointment given the”wide gaps” in the relative valuation of stocks.

Goldman Sachs’ Abby Joseph Cohen told Bloomberg on Thursday that markets could soon see “considerable downside” based on factors that financial models cannot predict.

What Congress will do next, what the president will say, and how the election will end cannot be forecasted by modeling, the senior investment strategist said.

“Those of us who have lived our professional lives really focusing in on the math, I think should feel very humble right now,” Cohen said.

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A Wall Street strategist says it’s time to exit tech stocks, and recommends 3 sectors that are cheaper and steadily improving


 

  • Steven DeSanctis of Jefferies told CNBC on Tuesday that many large technology stocks are getting “pricey” and investors should look for alternatives in other sectors. 
  • “At nine times revenue, 10 times revenue, it gets a little pricey, and with that any bad news will actually be a huge detriment to these stocks,” the equity strategist said, referring to technology stocks. 
  • He recommends investors buy stocks in industrials, consumer discretionary, and materials sectors as alternatives to technology.

Steven DeSanctis, Jefferies equity strategist, told CNBC on Tuesday that many large technology stocks are getting “pricey” and there are cheaper alternatives that investors can buy now.

“At some point you have to say what is too high,” DeSanctis said, referring to tech stock valuations. “At nine times revenue, 10 times revenue, it gets a little pricey, and with that any bad news will actually be a huge detriment to

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Stock investors should capitalize on the recent market correction by broadening portfolios beyond just tech, says one top Wall Street strategist


  • Tech stocks’ time in the spotlight is over, and investors should begin shifts to value stocks and cyclical sectors, James Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group, said in a recent note.
  • The S&P 500’s brief Thursday correction marks “an opportunity to ‘broaden your bets'” before valuations rebound, Paulsen said.
  • Money supply growth surged in recent months on the back of Federal Reserve easing and the CARES Act. That trend has preceded economic expansions by 12 months in all eight recessions since 1960, according to the strategist.
  • The cyclical sectors that avoided bankruptcy during coronavirus lockdowns “may currently be positioned with the greatest upside profit leverage,” Paulsen said.
  • Still, investors should hold on to some growth positions as their fundamentals remain healthy, he added.
  • Visit the Business Insider homepage for more stories.

The S&P 500’s brief correction opened the door for a shift to neglected corners

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Nikola is ‘a broken stock’ and could lose another 75%, one strategist says

Nikola founder and executive chairman Trevor Milton.


  • Nikola’s stock price has been in freefall since a short-seller report accused the company of misleading investors. 
  • Steve Kalayjian of Ticker Tocker thinks there could be further pain for the “broken stock” and it could crash to $5, from around $19.50, where it currently trades. 
  • The stock received its first sell-rating from Wedbush this week after Nikola CEO Trevor Milton has stepped down. 
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

Shares in electric truck maker Nikola have been on a roller-coaster journey this month, ever since a scathing short-seller report complained the company had misled investors and one strategist is predicting the stock could lose another 75% in value.

Steve Kalayjian, chief strategist and co-founder of trading platform Ticker Tocker told Business Insider: “Looking at Nikola’s stock chart. It’s a broken stock. I would avoid it. It could possibly go

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