Texas vs. Texas Tech odds, line: 2020 college football picks, predictions from model on 13-1 run

The No. 8 Texas Longhorns face off against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in the Big 12 opener for both programs on Saturday. Texas opened the 2020 season with a dominant 59-3 win over UTEP, with Texas Tech largely underwhelming in a 35-33 win over Houston Baptist in its first contest. The Longhorns enter Saturday’s Big 12 battle having won eight of their last 10 games against the Red Raiders. 

Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Lubbock, Texas. William Hill lists the Longhorns as 17.5-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points expected, is set at 70.5 in the latest Texas vs. Texas Tech odds. Before making any Texas Tech vs. Texas picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 13-1 on top-rated picks through three weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $900 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas vs. Texas Tech. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Texas Tech vs. Texas:

  • Texas vs. Texas Tech spread: Longhorns -17.5
  • Texas vs. Texas Tech over-under: 70.5 points
  • Texas vs. Texas Tech money line: Texas -800, Texas Tech +550
  • TEX: The Longhorns are 8-6 against the spread in the last 14 games
  • TTU: The Red Raiders were 4-4-1 against the spread in Big 12 games in 2019

Why Texas can cover

The opener was very kind to Texas, as the Longhorns are currently the No. 1 offense in college football this season, accumulating 689 yards against UTEP. In 2019, the Longhorns were also prolific, ranking as a top-15 offense nationally in averaging more than 465 yards per game. Texas converted that yardage into points as well, averaging more than 35 points per game, and quarterback Sam Ehlinger returns as the centerpiece of the offense. 

The four-year contributor at quarterback put up 3,663 yards, 32 touchdowns and only 10 interceptions in 2019, and he racked up 426 yards and five touchdowns in Texas’ season opener. He has a pair of quality receivers in Michigan transfer Tarik Black and sophomore Joshua Moore, both of whom scored touchdowns against UTEP, and the Texas Tech defense projects to provide little resistance. The Red Raiders allowed 600 yards to an underwhelming opponent in Houston Baptist.

Why Texas Tech can cover

Texas Tech is an explosive offensive team, and that was on display in the team’s opener. The Red Raiders received 430 passing yards from quarterback Alan Bowman in their first victory, with the signal-caller averaging 8.3 yards per attempt. Running back SaRodorick Thompson also had an impressive start to the season, rushing for 118 yards and two touchdowns against Houston Baptist. 

Defense is certainly a concern for Texas Tech in this matchup but, from a hidden yardage standpoint, the Red Raiders finished in the top five nationally in net punting in 2019, and special teams could be crucial as they pursue an upset victory on Saturday.

How to make Texas vs. Texas Tech picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it says Texas’ Keaontay Ingram rushes for just 53 yards, while Bowman throws a touchdown and an interception for the Red Raiders. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Texas Tech vs. Texas? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas vs. Texas Tech spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up over $3,800 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.

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